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The pitching challenged and offensively loaded Orioles have played Under the closing total in a remarkable 15 consecutive games.
We’ve had our eye on this trend since it hit six games (since even that seemed bizarre for this O’s squad) and it’s been largely dismissed as “the pitching has been better and the offense is slumping,” but 15 games is no longer a small sample size.
The Orioles are averaging 2.78 runs for and 3.00 runs against over their last 15 games. The math geniuses out there will quickly calculate that as 5.78 total runs per game during the streak.
This lack of runs scored comes from a roster that currently owns a .265 batting average in 2016 to go along with a .775 OPS (3rd in MLB). The O’s hitters also lead Major League Baseball in home runs with 150 (Toronto Blue Jays are second with 144).
On the flip side, despite having a very good bullpen (2.99 ERA, 36 saves, .235 opponent batting average), their pitching overall in 2016 has been terrible. The O’s hurlers (including their solid bullpen) currently possess a 4.19 ERA to go along with an opponent batting average of .260 and an OPS of .754.
Baseball fans outside the DMV area have never really bought into the 2016 Baltimore Orioles as a legitimate threat to win the American League East (pitching is the main reason) and it appears as though the oddsmakers have yet to buy into the O’s as a legitimate Under threat.
Over the last 15 games involving the Orioles, the average closing total is 9.167. The lowest total they’ve seen during the streak were consecutive 8.0 totals against the Tampa Bay Rays back on July 16 and 17. During their just completed three-game series at home against the Colorado Rockies (of course all three games played Under the number) they saw Over/Under numbers of 10.0, 9.5, and 9.0.
It’s interesting tonight that they hit the road for a one-game stop in Minneapolis to take on the Twins. The Twins are the league’s top Over team with an Over/Under record of 58-36.
The total for tonight’s matchup between Ubaldo Jimenez and Kyle Gibson is currently set at 10.0.
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