Not getting his season off the way he was expected to, Kevin Gausman will take the mound for the Orioles tonight looking to improve his bloated ERA and WHIP against the second-best offense in the American League as he and the O’s open a series with the Houston Astros. His counterpart tonight, Joe Musgrove, has shown flashes of brilliance in his young career but he’s been largely inconsistent through 20 MLB appearances.
– Shark BITES
- The Astros are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games against the Orioles.
- Kevin Gausman has a 9.47 ERA on the road this season and had a 6.17 ERA against the Astros in 2016.
- The Astros are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games as a moneyline favorite of -151 or less.
When the 24-year-old Musgrove first met this Orioles lineup in his rookie season last year, he allowed eight runs on 11 hits (three of which were home runs) so his nerves could be jangling as he squares off with the likes of the red-hot Chris Davis. The left-handed slugger has seven home runs this month and he’s hit all but two of his 10 bombs this season off right-handers.
This evening’s total of nine could be in serious peril given the pitching matchup and when you consider that these teams have combined for an average run total of 15.75 in their last four meetings, a total of nine seems like a lowball.
Opening Odds & Computer Pick
The moneyline was hovering in the range of -145 for the Houston Astros in this one over at Bovada. The over under number was sitting near 9 at 5Dimes.
Handicapping models based on recent betting stats and prediction formulas pick a 4.6-3.4 win for the Astros. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming MLB matchups here.
Baltimore Orioles vs Houston Astros Matchup
Team Betting Records & Power Rankings
The Houston Astros sport a record of 32-16 heading into this matchup, while the Baltimore Orioles sit at 25-20 on the season Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Houston vs Baltimore injuries news.
The MLB Power Rankings show a disparity between these teams, with the Houston Astros rated this week at No. 8 and the Baltimore Orioles sitting at No. 20.
The game also pits Houston Astros No. 10-rated offense, averaging 4.94 runs per game, against a Baltimore Orioles defense that ranks No. 17 at 4.56 in runs allowed per game. The Houston Astros have averaged 9.02 hits per game so far, more than Baltimore Orioles batters have averaged on the year (9 hits per game).
Houston owns the No. 2 defense, allowing 4.94 men per game to cross the plate. That contrasts with Baltimore’s No. 17-rated defense.
Recent Outings Betting Recap
The Orioles were saddled with a loss last time out in C Tillman’s start, as they lost 4-3 against Minnesota on Wednesday at Camden Yards.
Houston looks to continue its winning ways following a victory last time out against the Tigers, a 7-6 final on Thursday in support of M Fiers at Minute Maid Park.
- Baltimore is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
- Baltimore is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore’s last 6 games
- Baltimore is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
- Houston is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
- Houston is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games
- Houston is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home
- Houston is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games at home
Next Betting Matchups
Baltimore at Houston, Saturday, May 27th