Packers vs Patriots: Biggest Over/Under?


One sportsbook opened the Week 13 game between the Green Bay Packers and the New England Patriots with a sky-high total of 61 (it was quickly bet back to 59).

But if it climbs again during the week, it could close with the highest over-under in NFL history. The highest in the VSB
.com database was Oct. 29, 2000, when the Rams met the 49ers and the total closed at 61.5. The result was 34-24 for the Rams as Jeff Garcia battled Trent Green and Marshall Faulk scored four touchdowns.

[ See the latest Week 13 spreads and totals at Bodog | Matchup Stats for Packers vs. Pats ]

On Christmas Day 2004, the Raiders and Chiefs closed at 60.5 with a 31-30 KC win. The third-highest OU number was a playoff game in 2012, when the Lions and Saints closed at 59.5. The final was 45-28 Saints.

Most recently, one of several 58.5 closing totals occurred in the Pats vs. Colts game Nov. 16 with a 42-20 Pats win. If you are noticing an OVER trend in these games with super high totals, you are correct.

In the eight times it has closed above 58 points, the OVER prevailed six times (6-2). In the past 12 games at higher than 57, it is 9-3 favoring the OVER.

Computer predicts a whopping 41-40 victory for Green Bay, although that seems like a crazy high result. Still, both teams have been on fire offensively with the Pats routing good teams and the Packers going over 50 points several times.

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