Price has been poor value – 06-30-2014 Rumble


Here’s a comprehensive look at betting notes for
early-week major-league games:

Kershaw’s Magnificent Month

Los Angeles Dodgers ace Clayton Kershaw capped
an unbelievable June in style, tossing seven shutout innings in
Sunday’s 6-0 win over the St. Louis Cardinals. Kershaw finished
June 6-0 with a 0.82 ERA, a stretch that featured 61 strikeouts
against just four walks and a 28-inning shutout streak.

That’s One Big Dog

Monday’s action features only one major underdog play – the
Colorado Rockies (+204, 7.5), who face Jordan
Zimmermann and the host Washington Nationals.
It’s the Rockies’ first game of the year as a ‘dog of more than
+200; they went 2-2 in such games last season.

The Price is Wrong

David Price will look to reverse a bizarre
trend Tuesday as he leads the Tampa Bay Rays into New York for
a date with the Yankees. Price has been a sinkhole for betters
so far, earning $-466 – the lowest total for any pitcher whose
team actually has a winning record in his starts (9-8).

Pitching Notes

* Boston Red Sox right-hander Jake Peavy may
be one of the worst value plays in baseball ($-845), but at
least he has consistently paid off Under bettors. Peavy enters
Monday’s game against the visiting Cubs (+125, 8.5) 1-6 O/U in
his last seven starts, and 4-11 O/U for the year.

* Kansas City Royals ace James
 has trended the other way as he prepares
to face the host Minnesota Twins on Tuesday. Shields is a
sensational 7-1 O/U in his last eight starts and 12-4 O/U on
the year, tied with Justin Verlander and Stephen Strasburg for
the most Overs in the majors.

Hitting Notes

* Houston Astros sparkplug Jose Altuve is
heating up, posting four straight multi-hit, multi-steal games
to raise his average for the season to .347. The Astros are 3-1
SU and 1-3 O/U over that stretch; they open a series against
visiting Seattle (-102, 7.5) Monday evening.

* Miami catcher Jarrod Saltalamacchia may have
some trouble at the plate Tuesday night as his Marlins square
off against A.J. Burnett and the Philadelphia
Phillies. Saltamacchia has been dreadful versus Burnett in his
career ,going just 2-for-17 with 10 strikeouts.

Totals Streak

Oakland Athletics (6-1 O/U): The Athletics
came within a hair’s breadth of making it seven straight overs
Sunday, missing by a single run en route to a 4-3 victory over
host Miami. Oakland ends its first half of the season with a
league-best 51 wins and a 41-37-3 O/U mark.

Prop of the Day

Bettors should consider going big in Washington, where the
Nationals are +400 at -4.5. Zimmermann has allowed just five
earned runs over his previous five starts, while Rockies rookie
starter Yohan Flande was torched for four runs
over five innings in his major-league debut five days ago.

Injury Notes

* New York Mets starter Dillon Gee threw 2 2/3
solid innings during a rehab start in Lower-A over the weekend
as he works his way back from a strained lat muscle. The Mets
are 4-4 SU and 4-4 O/U in Gee’s eight starts this season; he’s
3-1 with a 2.73 ERA through 52 2/3 innings.

* Toronto Blue Jays slugger Jose Bautista
grounded out as a pinch-hitter Sunday in his first game action
in a week. The Blue Jays went 3-3 S/U, 3-3 O/U and lost 66
units in Bautista’s absence; he’s expected to return to the
lineup Tuesday against visiting Milwaukee.

WAG of the Day

Shannon Patterson (Schambeau) was Miss
District of Columbia 2005 and is the wife of former
major-league pitcher John Patterson.

Weather Watch

* Wind at U.S. Cellular Field will be blowing in from right
field at 16 mph for Monday’s game between the Chicago White Sox
(+137, 8.5) and the visiting Los Angeles Angels. Teams averaged
just 6.5 runs and 1.67 homers in six games under similar
conditions in 2013, well below stadium averages.

* Nationals Park will see wind blowing out to left field at 9
mph for Tuesday’s matchup between the Nationals and Colorado.
The home team went 6-2 SU but just 2-6 O/U in eight games under
similar wind conditions last season.

** Odds, stats, weather forecast and probable pitchers as
of 11:35 a.m. ET Monday


Source link

Leave a Comment