Saturday Night Football betting preview: Washington at Philadelphia

Washington at Philadelphia (-3, 48)

Washington flopped in their last bid to take control of the NFC East, but they can wrap up the division title with a victory at the visiting Philadelphia Eagles on Saturday night. Although Washington holds a one-game lead over Philadelphia and the New York Giants, the Eagles can win the NFC East with victories in their last two games.

Washington rebounded from a lackluster home loss to Dallas on Dec. 7 to knock off Chicago and Buffalo, posting back-to-back victories for the first time this season. Philadelphia bounced back from a three-game skid with wins over New England and Buffalo before it was demolished at home by the Arizona Cardinals 40-17 last week, putting it in a win-out situation. “I’m guaranteeing a win,” Eagles defensive end Fletcher Cox said. “What am I supposed to say? That I think we’re going to lose or something? No.” The last three meetings have each been decided by three points, including Washington’s 23-20 win in Week 4.

TV: 8:25 p.m. ET, NFL Network.

LINE HISTORY:
The Eagles opened as 4-point home favorites and have been bet down to -3. The total has stayed put at the opening number of 48.

INJURY REPORT:

Washington – WR D. Jackson (probable Saturday, foot), RB M. Jones (probable Saturday, hip), DE J. Hatcher (questionable Saturday, knee), S D. Goldson (questionable Saturday, ribs), LB P. Riley (uestionable Saturday, foot), RB C. Thompson (questionable Saturday, shoulder), S J. Johnson (questionable Saturday, hamstring), T M. Moses (questionable Saturday, foot), WR A. Roberts (I-R, knee).

Philadelphia – TE Z. Ertz (probable Saturday, leg), DB E. Rowe (probable Saturday, head), QB S. Bradford (probable Saturday, shoulder), DT B. Logan (questionable Saturday, calf), CB B. Maxwell (questionable Saturday, shoulder).

WEATHER REPORT:
It could be a wet night in Philadelphia. There is a 60-70 percent chance of rain with a slight 4-6 mile per hour wind, blowing across the field from east to west. Temperatures will be the low 50’s.

COVERS POWER RANKINGS:
Washington (-0.5) – Philadelphia (+0.5) + home field (-3) = Philadelphia -3

WHAT CAPPERS SAY:
“Washington DL Chris Baker on their chance to clinch the division on Saturday: ?I plan on celebrating in Philadelphia. We have to take care of business…. It?s going to be a dog fight.? Meanwhile, Eagles RB DeMarco Murray barely got off the bench in Sunday Night?s ugly loss to Arizona, now ranked No. 44 in yards per rush attempt out of 46 backs with enough carries to qualify.” – Covers Expert Teddy Covers.

ABOUT WASHINGTON (7-7, 7-7 ATS, 7-7 O/U): Kirk Cousins is in the midst of his the best stretch of his career with a passer rating above 100 in four straight games, capped by a 153.7 mark in last week’s 35-25 win over Buffalo in which he threw for 319 yards with four touchdowns and no interceptions. DeSean Jackson tuned up for his former teammates by hauling in six catches for 153 yards and a TD against the Bills; he has torched the Eagles with nine receptions for 243 yards and a score in the past two matchups. The Redskins are vulnerable to the run, ranking 28th with an average of 129.8 yards per game allowed.

ABOUT PHILADELPHIA (6-8, 6-8 ATS, 6-8 O/U):
Philadelphia was pierced for at least 40 points for the third time in five games in last week’s loss and its 30th-ranked run defense surrendered a staggering 230 yards to the Cardinals. After throwing only one interception in a four-game span, quarterback Sam Bradford negated a season-high 361-yard performance by getting picked off twice and losing a fumble. The soap opera that is the Eagles’ running game continued as marquee free-agent acquisition DeMarco Murray had a season-low two carries for three yards and has been limited to 91 yards over the past four games.

TWEET BEAT:

TRENDS:

* Underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
* Over is 4-1 in Philadelphia’s last five games overall.
* Over is 4-1 in Washington’s last 5 games in December.
* Philadelphia is 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games following a double-digit loss at home.

COVERS CONSENSUS: Sixty percent of bettors are siding with Washington in this NFC East showdown. As for the total, the public loves the over, with 72 percent of wagers on it.

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