Saturday’s NCAA Tournament second round betting preview: Midwest Region

(5) Iowa State Cyclones vs (4) Purdue Boilermakers (-1, 151.5)

Game to be played at BMO Harris Bradley Center, Milwaukee, Wisconsin

A contrast in styles figures to make for an intriguing second-round NCAA Tournament Midwest Region matchup Saturday night when Iowa State takes on Purdue in Milwaukee. The fifth-seeded Cyclones feature a high-scoring four-guard attack while the fourth-seeded Boilermakers boast one of the nation’s most-imposing front lines, led by national player of the year-candidate Caleb Swanigan. 

The 6-9, 250-pound Swanigan totaled 16 points, 14 rebounds, four assists and a trio of blocked shots in Thursday’s 80-70 first-round win over Vermont while fellow forward Vincent Edwards added a game-high 21 points, with 15 coming in the second half. Swanigan, Edwards and a 7-2 Isaac Haas combined for 25 of Purdue’s 38 rebounds as the Boilermakers finished a plus-10 on the glass and overwhelmed the Catamounts in the paint. Iowa State, meanwhile, received a combined 59 points, including eight 3-pointers, and 14 assists from starting guards Monte Morris, Naz Mitrou-Long, Deonte Burton and Matt Thomas in beating 12-seeded Nevada for its 10th win in its last 11 games. “Purdue is a big team – a really big team, and it’s going to be David and Goliath out there,” Burton told the media following Thursday night’s win. “We’re going to have to bring a lot of toughness (Saturday) because we’re not as big.”

TV: 9:40 p.m. ET, TBS

LINE HISTORY:  Purdue opened as 1-point favorites and the total opened at 151.5, neither number has yet to move. Check out the complete line history here.

BETTING STATS:



ABOUT IOWA STATE (24-10 SU, 19-12 ATS, 19-12 OU): The Cyclones shot 55.6 percent from the field, including 8-of-19 3-pointers, and improved to 17-0 this season when scoring 80 or more points. Morris (16.4 per game), Mitrou-Long (15.4), Burton (14.8) and Thomas (12.1) are all averaging double figures, and Morris’ 6.1 assists per outing ranks third among NCAA tourney players. In all, five Cyclones have made at least 40 3-pointers this season and as a team, Iowa State is connecting on 40.3 percent of its long-range attempts which ranked 13th nationally entering play Friday.

ABOUT PURDUE (26-7 SU, 18-10-2 ATS, 17-12-1 OU): Swanigan’s double-double Thursday gave him a Big Ten-record 27 on the season, and only three major-conference players (Blake Griffin with 30, Tim Duncan with 29 and Michael Beasley with 28) have had more in a single campaign in the last 20 years. Swanigan leads the team with 18.4 points and 12.6 rebounds per outing and is joined in double-digit scoring by Haas (12.6), Edwards (12.5) and guards Carsen Edwards (10.5) and Dakota Mathias (10.0). Purdue shot 52.1 percent from the floor versus Vermont and is now 16-2 this season when shooting 48 percent or better.

MATCHUP CHART:

TRENDS:

* Cyclones are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win.
* Boilermakers are 7-1-2 ATS in their last 10 Saturday games.
* Over is 13-3 in Cyclones last 16 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
* Over is 17-4 in Cyclones last 21 overall.
* Over is 7-0 in Boilermakers last 7 neutral site games.

Click here for a complete list of hot and cold trends.


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