The battle for an Eastern Conference playoff spot is going to be nasty one as we get closer and closer to the end of the regular season and we should probably expect a playoff-like atmosphere when the Maple Leafs host the Senators tonight looking to climb within a point of their Ontario rivals.
– Shark Bites
- The Senators are 6-1 SU in their last seven games against the Maple Leafs.
- The Maple Leafs have the 3rd worst penalty kill in the league since the all-star break.
- The Maple Leafs will be without their leading scorer Mitch Marner.
This matchup is always heated but with the added motivation of a playoff spot on the line, the intensity should be cranked way up. The Leafs gave up five goals in their last outing in a loss to the Blue Jackets so it’s likely Mike Babcock will want his team more committed at the defensive end.
With Frederik Andersen getting a couple days of rest between games, expect him to play at his best. The Danish goaltender has posted a stellar .930 save percentage in his 15 starts where he’s had exactly two days of rest and that’s not something he’s had very often in the hectic month of February.
Additionally, the Sens have had a bit of trouble finding the twine since the all-star break and have been averaging just 2.29 goals in their seven games in that span. This one could have a tough time getting OVER its total if everything goes according to plan for the Leafs’ staff and I’ll be siding with the UNDER.
Opening Odds & Computer Pick
The visiting Ottawa Senators opened as 115 moneyline underdogs in this one at most online sportsbooks tracked at Odds – Shark, including BetOnline. The total opened at 5.5 for those preferring over under betting, watch for the line updates during the day at Bovada.
Odds – Shark computer prediction handicapping models run on this game pick a 2.9-2.6 victory for the Maple Leafs. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NHL matchups here.
Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs Matchup
Team Betting Records & Power Rankings
The Toronto Maple Leafs are 26-19-11 so far on the season. The Ottawa Senators, meanwhile, are 30-19-6. OVER/UNDER betting fans have seen Toronto go 26-29-1 and the Senators go 22-31-2 on the totals. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Toronto vs Ottawa injuries news.
The NHL Power Rankings show a disparity between these teams, with the Toronto Maple Leafs rated this week at No. 5 and the Ottawa Senators sitting at No. 16.
The game also pits Toronto’s No. 6-ranked offense, averaging 3.11 goals per game, against a Senators defense that ranks No. 11 at 2.65 goals allowed. The Maple Leafs power play is averaging 23.67% while the Senators defense kills off 84.57% of their penalties.
Recent Outings Betting Recap
The Senators were a 3-0 winner in their most recent outing on the road against the Devils. That made winners of bettors who got Ottawa at -105 on the moneyline, while the total score (3) was good news for OVER bettors.
Last time out for Toronto, they were a 5-2 loser as they battled the Blue Jackets on the road. Moneyline bettors who got the Blue Jackets at -141 were rewarded, while the 7 combined goals moved the game OVER for totals bettors.
- Ottawa is 18-7 ATS in its last 25 games
- Ottawa is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ottawa’s last 6 games
- Ottawa is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
- Toronto is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
- Toronto is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games at home
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto’s last 6 games at home
- Toronto is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Ottawa
Next Betting Matchups
Ottawa home to Winnipeg, Sunday, February 19th
Toronto at Carolina, Sunday, February 19th