SN: NFL Week 5 Betting Trends Analysis

Unbeaten Cincinnati should bury Seattle, which has a struggling offensive line and is traveling on a short week having just hosted Detroit on Monday night.

Or should the Bengals? Cincinnati is 16-2-1 in its last 19 home games, 15-3-1 against the spread (ATS).

Impressive, but. Seattle is underrated away from boisterous CenturyLink Field covering 15 of its past 23 road contests. The Seahawks also are 11-3 ATS on the road when meeting an opponent with a winning home mark.

None of Cincinnati’s four victories have been against a foe above .500. The Bengals are laying three to Seattle.

Trends Point to UNDER for Jags vs Bucs

Anything worth watching when Jacksonville makes its third straight road appearance taking on Tampa Bay? Yeah, another game.

Actually, trend-wise this total should go under 42.

The Buccaneers have gone under in 11 of their last 14 games. The under also cashed 11 of the last 12 times the Buccaneers have faced an opponent with a losing record.

Jacksonville has gone under during its past five October games.

The Jaguars are second-to-last in the NFL in scoring at 15.5 points a game. They just lost guard Brandor Linder, one of their better offensive linemen, to a shoulder injury this past Sunday.

The Buccaneers rank 27th in scoring at 18 points per contest.

Lions set to face high-scoring cardinals

Speaking of unders, Detroit has gone beneath the total in 18 of its last 24 games. The Lions are hosting Arizona with a 44 total.

The Lions are the worst rushing team in the league, have a struggling offensive line, underachieving tight ends and a banged-up Matthew Stafford. Their secondary has played better than expected. Detroit has gone under in its last three games.

The Cardinals may not cooperate. Despite failing to put up touchdowns in multiple red zone opportunities against St. Louis last Sunday, Arizona ranks No. 2 in scoring at 37 points per game. The over has cashed in all four of Arizona’s games.

Sometimes trends/angles can be misleading. Green Bay is 9-1 lifetime versus San Diego. That sounds good. But disregard it as a handicapping factor. The teams last played in 2011. A game played four years ago does not hold relevance in the NFL.


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