SN: NFL Week 6 Betting Trends Analysis

Green Bay was lucky to cover a nine-point spread at home this past Sunday defeating St. Louis 24-10. The Packers managed to cover because Greg Zuerlein missed three field goals and Nick Foles was Nick Foles, throwing four interceptions, including two in the end zone.

Despite that close call, the Packers have been dominant at Lambeau Field where they host San Diego Sunday.

Green Bay has covered a staggering 70 percent of its last 52 home games going 35-15-2 against the spread (ATS). The Packers have won 12 in a row at home posting a 9-2-1 ATS mark.

Seahawks Have Also Dominated at Home

Seattle is another super home team winning 14 of its last 15 games at CenturyLink Field. The Seahawks are 9-5-1 ATS in those games. Seattle hosts Carolina this week.

The Panthers were idle last week. Extra rest hasn’t translated well, though, for the Panthers. They are 0-6 straight-up and ATS following a bye under Ron Rivera.

The New York Jets also were idle last week. The under has cashed 15 of the last 18 times the Jets have played off a bye.

Not that Miami ownership needed another reason to fire Joe Philbin, but the Dolphins were 1-8 ATS in their last nine games. Something has to give because the Dolphins play at Tennessee Sunday. The Titans have dropped their past seven home games and are 3-14-2 ATS in their last 19 AFC matchups.

I consider ATS records to be a reflection on how good a coach is. Minnesota has covered 11 of its last 14 games under second-year head man Mike Zimmer.

Colts Have Been Poor ATS vs Patriots

Indianapolis should get good news as quarterback Andrew Luck is expected to play after missing the last two games. The bad news is the Colts are home to New England in the Sunday night game.

During the Chuck Pagano/Luck era, the Colts have met the Patriots four times. They are 0-4 straight-up and ATS.

The Colts are 21-7-1 (75 percent) ATS during their past 29 home games.


The Patriots have blasted the Colts 59-24, 43-22, 42-20 and 45-7 the three previous seasons. That’s an average victory margin of 29 points.


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