New England Patriots vs. Atlanta Falcons – Open: -3; Move: none.
Even with Tom Brady missing the first four games of the year due to his Deflategate suspension, New England proved to be the best in the NFL both SU and ATS, at 14-2 and 13-3 respectively during the regular season. After a pair of easy playoff victories, the Patriots are 16-2 SU, 15-3 ATS, and riding a nine-game winning streak (8-1 ATS) into Sunday’s Super Bowl in Houston.
Matt Ryan, whom many believe will be named the league MVP, has led the NFL’s top-scoring offense while guiding Atlanta to just its second-ever Super Bowl appearance. The Falcons (13-5 SU, 12-6 ATS) have won six in a row (5-1 ATS), putting up 33 points or more in all six games, including a 44-21 rout of Green Bay laying 6.5 points at home in the NFC Championship Game.
“Actually, no adjustments on the line itself. We opened it Sunday night after the conference championship games at 3 flat, and we’re currently at 3 flat,” Stoneback said Monday. “We’re actually seeing a little bit more money on the Patriots, it’s about a 3/2 ratio on the money. But it’s amazing, after one week of the Super Bowl being up, I just checked it, and there were 109 (more) tickets written on the Patriots than the Falcons. So as far as ticket count and everything, it’s pretty equal.”
Up north at the Peppermill Reno, Cox has also stood pat on Patriots -3 (-110), adding that perhaps surprisingly, sticking on that number hasn’t hindered wagering as much as it has in the past.
“When we had a 3-point spread that didn’t move, it kind of killed the action,” Cox said. “But not so this year. We’re getting good action. Five-figure bets, and several of them, actually.”
The Mirage and the rest of MGM Resorts books have also stood firm on the moneyline, with New England -145 and Atlanta +125. At the Peppermill, however, Cox made some adjustments due to Atlanta money, moving the Pats off their opener of -160 down to -150, with a corresponding move on the Falcons from +140 to +130.
“We’re very heavy on Atlanta moneyline,” Cox said.
Patrick Everson is a Las Vegas-based senior writer for Covers. Follow him on Twitter: @Covers_Vegas.