Steelers vs Bills Betting Odds and Pick, December 11, 2016

After their four-game losing streak, the Steelers have turned things around – in a big way. Pittsburgh has now won three straight and is right back in the thick of things in the AFC North. Their opponents this week are likely out of playoff contention but at 6-6 the Buffalo Bills have a slight glimmer of hope if they win out and get a lot of help along the way.

– Shark BITES
  • The Bills are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as home underdogs.
  • The total has gone UNDER in the Steelers’ last 7 games in the early afternoon.
  • The Bills are 7-2 SU in their last 9 games at home.

These two Rust Belt cities may not meet very often, but when they do? Pittsburgh wins. The Steelers have beaten the Bills in five-straight meetings and have covered an astounding nine times in their last 10. Bookmakers expect that trend to continue this week as the Steelers opened as 2-point favorites.

A big positive for the Steelers in this Week 14 matchup is their ability to stop the run. All the Bills do is run the ball but they haven’t faced a top 10 rush defense since they lost to the Jets in Week 2. Buffalo has failed to breach 100 rushing yards just three times this season and coincidentally enough – they’ve gone 0-3 in those games. When the Steelers have held teams under 100 rushing yards? They’re 7-1.

The Steelers are no slouches in the running game themselves as they possess one of the most lethal weapons in all of football with Le’Veon Bell. Parlay that with the dynamic duo of Ben Roethlisberger and Antonio Brown in the passing game and you get one of the most diverse offenses in the NFL that should be able to score at will on a subpar Bills defense.

It’s clear what Pittsburgh has to do in this one, it’s just a matter of whether or not they can slow down LeSean “Shady” McCoy and the Bills’ league-best rushing attack.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Bettors who were going with the Buffalo Bills in this one found them listed as 1.5-point underdogs on the betting line at Bovada. Fans betting on totals have seen that number set earlier in the week at 47.5 for Sunday.

Handicapping models based on recent betting stats and prediction formulas picked a 24-22 win for the Steelers. Injuries during the week may cause the formula to be re-run, so check the NFL picks page before game time. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NFL matchups here.

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Buffalo Bills Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

Betting fans of the Buffalo Bills have seen them go 6-6 and 5-6-1 ATS so far this season, while the Pittsburgh Steelers are at 7-5 and 7-5 ATS. In over under totals betting, the Pittsburgh Steelers are 3-9, while the Buffalo Bills are 9-3. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Buffalo vs Pittsburgh injuries news.

The power rankings show a disparity between these teams, with the Buffalo Bills rated this week at No. 7 and the Pittsburgh Steelers sitting at No. 12.

Statistical Matchup

Offensively, the game matches up the Buffalo Bills No. 9-ranked offense (25.42 PPG) against a Pittsburgh Steelers defense that ranks No. 7 at 19.67 PPG. The Bills passing attack has averaged 181.42 yards per game, less than the Steelers give up through the air (256.33 YPG on average).

In comparing defenses, the Pittsburgh Steelers own the league’s No. 8-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 96 yards per game when on the road. Buffalo, on the other hand, rates No. 1 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

Last time we saw the Giants, they had no answer for Le’Veon Bell as the Steelers rolled to a 24-14 victory at Heinz Field.

Betting Trends
  • The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Pittsburgh’s last 8 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh’s last 5 games on the road
  • Pittsburgh is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Buffalo
  • Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
  • Buffalo is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games
  • Buffalo is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 7 of Buffalo’s last 8 games
  • Buffalo is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Pittsburgh at Cincinnati, Sunday, December 18th
Buffalo home to Cleveland, Sunday, December 18th

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