Sunday Night Football betting preview: Green Bay at Washington

 

Green Bay at Washington (-3, 49)

Washington entered the playoffs last season on a four-game winning streak against a struggling Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers and promptly were run off their home field 35-18. Washington have a chance to atone for that loss Sunday, when they host a Green Bay club that is in the midst of a three-game losing streak.

The Packers have won only once in their last five games, and questions continue to surround the effectiveness of Rodgers, but Washington is tuning out such noise. “He’s still a future Hall-of-Famer,” Washington linebacker Will Compton told reporters. “You can’t buy into that (criticism) for a second.” The most pressing concern for Green Bay is a defense that has surrendered 141 points in its last four defeats, including a 47-25 thrashing at Tennessee last week. Washington did the Packers a favor by posting a 26-20 victory over NFC North-leading Minnesota, keeping Green Bay within a game of the division lead.

TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, NBC. 

LINE HISTORY:  Washington opened as 2.5-home favorites over the struggling Packers and, despite briefly rising to 3, the line faded back to 2.5.  The total opened 50 and was bet up to 50.5 before dropping to 49.5 late in the week.  Check out the complete history here.

WHAT SHARPS SAY: Two teams on opposite ends of the momentum ladder with Packers dropping three straight game while the Redskins are on a 5-1-1 win run since dropping their first two games of the season. Revenge from a playoff from season will be foremost on Washington’s mind while Green Bay hopes to avoid a 4th straight same season loss for the first time since 2008. Should be a dandy.  Covers Expert – Marc Lawrence

WEATHER REPORT: The forecast for FedEx Field is calling for partly cloudy skies with temperatures in the high 30’s.

INJURY REPORT:

Green Bay – LB Clay Matthews (probable, hamstring), TE Jared Cook (probable, ankle), WR Randall Cobb (probable, hamstring), WR Ty Montgomery (questionable, illness), DB Micah Hyde (questionable, shoulder), CB Quinten Rollins (questionable, groin), C JC Tretter (questionable, knee), G T.J. Lang (questionable, ankle), LB Jake Ryan (questionable, ankle), OT David Bakhtiari (questionable, knee), S Morgan Burnett (questionable, undisclosed)

Washington – LS Nick Sandberg (questionable, back), S Will Blackmon (questionable, thumb), DE Anthony Lanier (questionable, thigh), RB Matt Jones (questionable, knee), WR DeSean Jackson (questionable, shoulder), OT Morgan Moses (questionable, ankle)

CHEERLEADER WAR:

ABOUT THE PACKERS (4-5 SU, 4-4-1 ATS, 5-4 O/U): Green Bay’s ongoing search for a running back led to another waiver-wire acquisition, as it claimed Christine Michael on Wednesday after he was released by Seattle earlier in the week. A former second-round draft pick who was sent packing my three teams last season, Michael rushed for 469 yards for the Seahawks but was held to 23 yards over the last two games. “Dynamic football player; I love his running style,” Packers coach Mike McCarthy told reporters. “I think he’s a good fit for us.” Rodgers threw for a season-high 371 yards last week with Green Bay forced to play catch-up, but linebacker Clay Matthews should provide a boost to the beleaguered defense after missing three games.

ABOUT WASHINGTON (5-3-1 SU, 6-3 ATS, 7-2 OU): Washington has lost once in its last seven games (5-1-1) as it attempts to keep pace with first-place Dallas and the New York Giants in the NFC East. Kirk Cousins threw for 262 yards and two touchdowns without an interception against the Vikings and may have to continue to spread the ball around, with deep threat DeSean Jackson again a major question mark due to a shoulder injury. Rookie running back Rob Kelley has look solid in his first two starts, following an 87-yard performance against Cincinnati by rushing for 97 on 22 carries versus Minnesota’s rugged defense. Washington is tied for sixth in the league with 25 sacks, with linebackers Ryan Kerrigan and Trent Murphy recording a team-leading seven apiece.

TWEET BEAT:

TRENDS:

Packers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Washington is 6-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 5-1 in Packers last 6 games following a straight up loss.
Over is 7-0 in Redskins last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 8-1 in Redskins last 9 vs. NFC.
Packers are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

COVERS CONSENSUS: The home team favorite Washington is picking 51 percent of the point spread action and the over is getting 73 percent of the action.  View full consensus data here.

[ad_2]
Source link

Leave a Comment