San Diego Chargers at Denver Broncos (-7.5,
The new touchdown king of the NFL quarterbacks isn’t getting
much time to savor his record-breaking night, as Peyton Manning
and the Denver Broncos face a quick turnaround and a key
division clash against the visiting San Diego Chargers on
Thursday. The Broncos are aiming for their fourth straight win
after Manning passed for 318 yards and four TDs in a 42-17 win
over San Francisco on Sunday night. Denver has a half-game
cushion in the AFC West over San Diego, which had a five-game
winning streak snapped with a 23-20 loss to Kansas City on
Manning’s 33rd game of four or more touchdowns gave him 510
career TD passes, moving him past Brett Favre (508) for the
NFL’s all-time lead. Both Manning (9-2) and Chargers
quarterback Philip Rivers (4-1) have performed well on
Thursday, though Rivers and San Diego outdueled Manning and the
Broncos in a 27-20 victory on Thursday night last December. The
teams have split their 10 meetings over the past five seasons,
but the Broncos have won four of the past five.
TV: 8:25 p.m. ET, CBS, NFL Network.
LINE HISTORY: Denver has opened as 7.5-point
home faves with a total of 51.
INJURY REPORT: Chargers – RB Donald Brown
(questionable, concussion), DB Brandon Flowers (questionable,
concussion), CB Jason Verrett (questionable, shoulder).
Broncos – RB Montee Ball (questionable,
WEATHER REPORT: Temperatures will be in the high-60s
under clear skies. Wind will blow toward the north endzone at 3
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Chargers (-3.25)
+ Broncos (-8.5) + home field (-3.0) = Broncos -8.25
WHAT CAPPERS SAY: “Denver has been like a
second home for the Chargers where they are 6-3 SU and 8-0-1
ATS their last nine visits. With emotions running high
for the Broncos last week following Peyton Manning’s record
shattering performance, it would be no surprise to San Diego
bounce back off last week’s poor performance and take this game
right down to the wire.” Covers
Expert Marc Lawrence.
WHAT BOOKS SAY: “We opened this up at -7
and it bounced around between that and -7.5 for about 36 hours.
We’ve since moved to -8. After initially dropping the total a
point from the opener of 51, we’ve seen steady action on the
over to get it back to the original number. Overs in primetime
NFL games this year have been money so almost 90 percent of our
wagers have been on that side.” John Lester,
ABOUT THE CHARGERS (5-2 SU 5-2 ATS, 4-2 O/U):
Rivers (1,961 yards, 17 TDs, 3 INTs) has put up huge numbers,
but the offense stalled against the Chiefs with a season-low
251 total yards. The Chargers also had a tough time stopping
the run, giving up a season-high 154 yards on the ground, but
that’s not likely to be a concern against Denver. San Diego
ranks third in the NFL against the pass and has not allowed
more than 300 passing yards yet this season.
ABOUT THE BRONCOS (5-1 SU, 3-3 ATS, 4-2 O/U): Even at
age 38, Manning (1,848 yards, 19 TDs, 3 INTs) boasts the top
quarterback rating in the AFC, and the Broncos have put up 31
or more points in three straight games. Denver’s receiving
corps will test San Diego’s strong pass defense, as four
receivers have at least 17 receptions and at least one
touchdown. The Broncos’ defense has been somewhat susceptible
to the pass but ranks third in the league against the run and
hasn’t allowed more than 62 rushing yards during the three-game
* Underdog is 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings.
* Chargers are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
* Broncos are 4-0 ATS in their last four games in October.
* Under is 4-0 in Broncos last four vs. AFC West.
COVERS CONSENSUS: According to Covers
Consensus, the Broncos have the slight edge at 50.34 percent.