Michigan St. Spartans at Duke Blue Devils (-11.5, 144.5)
Duke hasn’t lost a non-conference game at home since 2000, but it doesn’t often get visitors the caliber of the Michigan State squad it will host on Tuesday. The fourth-ranked Blue Devils put their 128-game non-conference home winning streak to the test – as well as their recent dominance over Tom Izzo’s team – when they host the Spartans in the ACC-Big Ten Challenge.
Duke owns a 10-2 lead in the series, which will be renewed for the sixth time in the past seven seasons, including an 81-61 win in the Final Four last campaign. Michigan State hasn’t defeated Duke since the NCAA Tournament’s Sweet 16 in 2005, but the series has been competitive – with six of the last seven meetings and eight of the last 10 decided by 10 points or fewer. The Blue Devils have fallen in the rankings after starting the season at No. 1, while Michigan State has tumbled out of the top 25 after a lofty preseason perch at No. 9, in large part because it has had to navigate one of the nation’s toughest schedules to date. All three of the Spartans’ losses have come against teams currently ranked in the top 15 – No. 2 Kentucky, No. 11 Baylor and No. 15 Arizona – and now they’ll add another top-five test on the road.
TV: 9:30 p.m. ET, ESPN
LINE HISTORY: Duke opened the betting as 10.5-point favorites and by mid-Tuesday morning that number was bumped up to -11.5. The total opened at 144.5 and has yet to move. Check out the complete line history here.
Michigan St. – F Ben Carter (Out Indefinitely, knee), F Gavin Schilling (Out Indefinitely, knee).
Duke – G Grayson Allen (Questionable Tuesday, ankle), F Jayson Tatum (Out Indefinitely, foot), F Sean Obi (Out Indefinitely, knee), C Marques Bolden (Out Indefinitely, leg), F Harry Giles (Out Indefinitely, knee).
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Michigan St. (-8) – Duke (-18.8) + home court (-3) = Duke -13.8
ABOUT MICHIGAN STATE (4-3 SU, 2-4 ATS, 2-4 O/U): The Spartans go as senior guard Eron Harris (12.7 points) goes, as the Indianapolis native averages 19.3 points in wins and four in losses. Miles Bridges (17.4 points, 8.7 rebounds) has been a much more consistent scorer, putting up double digits in six of seven games – including four 20-point performances. Fellow freshman forward Nick Ward (10.4 points, 5.9 rebounds) has been productive off the bench, but the Spartans still are a work in progress at the offensive end.
ABOUT DUKE (6-1 SU, 3-3 ATS, 0-6 O/U): The Blue Devils’ roster is loaded with talent, but much of it could be confined to the sidelines Tuesday with highly-touted freshmen Jayson Tatum, Harry Giles and Marques Bolden still waiting to make their debuts and star guard Grayson Allen (16.1 points, 5.6 rebounds, 3.6 assists) nursing a toe injury. Duke still has plenty of dangerous players, with Luke Kennard (17.2 points, 6.7 rebounds, 3.9 assists) and Amile Jefferson (13.6 points, 9.4 rebounds) leading the way along with guard Frank Jackson – the one freshman who has seen the court enough to live up to his hype. Jackson (16 points) has scored in double figures in every game.
* Spartans are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games.
* Blue Devils are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
* Over is 9-2 in Spartans last 11 games as a road underdog.
* Under is 7-0 in Blue Devils last 7 games as a favorite.
* Over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings @ Duke.
COVERS CONSENSUS: The early consensus point spread action on this game is split 50/50 and Under is picking up most of the totals picks at 71 percent. View full consensus data here.
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