UFC Fight Night 96: Lineker vs Dodson Betting Odds Preview

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Get the red panties ready because the main event of UFC Fight Night Portland is going to be hot fire. Crowd-pleasing John Lineker takes on lightning quick John Dodson with some big implications on the line for the bantamweight division this Saturday.

John Lineker vs John Dodson

Lineker is a ball of hard-hitting energy in the Octagon. He has some solid technical boxing ability, but works at his best when he can cut off the cage and throw punches at a ridiculous pace. Nothing epitomizes this better than his bout with Francisco Rivera, a fight that saw ‘Hands of Stone’ throw 60 significant strikes in a bout that lasted just over two minutes. The Brazilian loves to get into slugfests because his combination of power and his iron chin make him the perfect brawler.

Lineker is far from a slouch if the fight comes to the ground, as he has a blue belt in BJJ and is crafty enough to lock in some submissions. A skilled grappler can outwrestle him but that has only rarely befallen him recently in his career.

Lineker’s exciting style can also be his downfall, as he can gas later into fights. That could be a big issue considering Dodson has never been knocked out and this is a five round fight.

Dodson is an expert at using his speed to throw punches in bunches but does so selectively. He has huge power in his hands for a fighter in the lighter weight classes and is afforded the ability to be selective with his strikes due to his powerful punches. The speed doesn’t just translate to his hands, as his foot speed is fantastic. His ability to jump in, land a shot and get out of range is unparalleled.

‘The Magician’ was also a two-time state wrestling champ in high school and shows some opportunistic grappling ability. Like most fighters out of Jackson-Wink, Dodson does an excellent job mixing his grappling and striking. We’ve yet to see him really implement his wrestling skills since moving back to bantamweight full time – he competed on TUF at that weight – and it will be interesting to see if he will get out powered by potentially bigger fighters. 

Dodson can be beaten by a technical marvel, but that type of fighter is few and far between – the only fighter to beat him since the beginning of 2010 is Demetrious Johnson.

This is going to be a battle between two of the most electric strikers in lighter weight classes. Both men have knockout power and a fight style they will need to play to. Lineker will want to cut off the cage, while Dodson will want to keep moving and tire out his opponent.

Rest Of The Main Card

Will Brooks (-270) makes his second walk to the Octagon when he takes on Alex Oliveira (+210) in the co-main event. ‘Ill Will’ did not look particularly great against Ross Pearson in his first UFC bout, but he still picked up the win. Brooks is incredibly athletic and loves to move forward behind his jab. This fits his style, as he does his best work when he can trap his opponent against the cage. Oliveira also does his best work when pushing the pace on the feet, as he possesses creativity in the striking game. He is also a blue belt in BJJ and feels comfortable if a fight is on the ground.

Josh Burkman (-230) will likely be fighting for his job when he takes on short notice call-up Zak Ottow (+180). Burkman is just 1-3 with one no contest during his second stint with the UFC and has looked past his prime in most of those outings. He is a tough, well-rounded fighter who can still hang with some low-tier fighters but is not much more at this point. Ottow makes his UFC debut after amassing a 13-3 pro record. ‘The Barbarian’ is also fighting at 155 lbs for the first time in his career after frequently fighting at 170. He is a submission specialist with 10 career victories via sub.

Louis Smolka (-400) looks to continue his charge up the flyweight rankings as he takes on promotional newcomer Brandon Moreno (+300). Smolka has been tearing through the relatively weak 125 lbs division with a combination of volume striking and his excellent use of range. ‘Da Last Samurai’ is a tall, long fighter for the division. Smolka has some slick submission skills with five victories coming via sub. Despite being just 22, Moreno already has 14 pro fights to his name. ‘The Assassin’ is a submission specialist with eight career wins coming via sub. Moreno took this fight on short notice and could struggle as his best skills may be rendered mute.

UFC Fight Night Portland: Lineker vs Dodson

Odds as of September 27 at Bovada

  • John Lineker +105
  • John Dodson -135
  • Will Brooks -270
  • Alex Oliveira +210
  • Josh Burkman -230
  • Zak Ottow +180
  • Louis Smolka -400
  • Brandon Moreno +300
  • Henrique da Silva -150
  • Joachim Christensen +120
  • Hacran Dias -185
  • Andre Fili +150
  • Shamil Abdurakhimov -120
  • Walt Harris -110
  • Keita Nakamura -160
  • Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos +130
  • Nate Marquardt +180
  • Tamdan McCrory -230
  • Ion Cutelaba -155
  • Jonathan Wilson +125
  • Cody East +170
  • Curtis Blaydes -210
  • Kelly Faszholz -115
  • Ketlen Vieira -115

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