Verlander bucking over trend? – 07-21-2014 Rumble

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Here’s a comprehensive look at betting notes for the
early-week major league games:

Same Old Padres

The San Diego Padres continue to be the league’s strongest
under play, going below 6.5 for the second straight day in
Sunday’s 2-1 victory over the New York Mets. The Under has
prevailed at least twice in 13 of San Diego last 14 series, a
staggering stretch during which the Padres are 11-32-1 O/U.

Verlander Reversing Course?

Justin Verlander will look to continue the
reversal of an ugly trend Monday as he and the Detroit Tigers
(-132, 9) visit the Arizona Diamondbacks. Verlander is 10-2 O/U
over his last 12 starts – going 5-7 against the moneyline over
that span – but was an Under last time out.

Zimmermann Good to Go

Washington pitcher Jordan Zimmermann is
expected to start Tuesday against Colorado. Zimmermann left his
last start with a strained biceps; the right-hander allowed
four runs over 3 1/3 innings in that one to snap a string of
seven straight quality starts during which the Nationals went
5-2 SU and 1-6 O/U.

Pitching Notes

* Nationals righty Doug Fister looks like
a strong under play Monday as Washington (-141, 10.5) visits
the Rockies. Fister has gone Under in five of his last six
starts and is 10-16-5 O/U in his career with the total set at 9
or higher.
 
* The Tampa Bay Rays are going to need plenty of good karma
Tuesday as they face St. Louis ace Adam
Wainwright
. The Cardinals right-hander has allowed two
runs or fewer in all but three of his starts this season, with
St. Louis an absurd 15-4 against the moneyline in his outings
so far.

Hitting Notes

* Miami Marlins slugger Giancarlo
Stanton
 has two homers in three games out of the
All-Star break, but may struggle Monday night against host
Atlanta (-186, 7). Stanton is just 2-for-15 against Braves
starter Julio Teheran, though he has taken the
Atlanta righty deep once.

* The Boston Red Sox get another southpaw Tuesday as they face
off against JA Happ and the Toronto Blue Jays.
Boston enters the week with the second-most at-bats versus
lefties this season (1,125); they’re hitting just .248 off
southpaws for the year.

Totals Streak

Washington Nationals (5-1 O/U): The bats are
booming in the U.S. capital, with the Nationals leading the
league in batting average (.326) and tied for first in runs
scored (25) since the break. The Nationals are 48-40-8 O/U for
the year despite ranking in the middle of the pack in runs
scored.

Prop of the Day

Take the under in a big way in Colorado. In addition to
Fister’s recent run of unders, Colorado counterpart
Franklin Morales is 3-7 O/U in 10 home starts
on the season and has surrendered a modest five home runs in 42
1/3 innings at Coors Field.

Injury Notes

* Baltimore Orioles starter Ubaldo
Jimenez
 has been scratched from a scheduled rehab
start Wednesday due to soreness in his sprained right ankle.
The veteran righty, who is just 3-8 with a 4.52 ERA and a 7-10
O/U record in 17 starts, isn’t expected to return until
mid-August.

* New York Mets right-hander Jon Niese has
been activated off the 15-day disabled list and will start
Monday against the host Seattle Mariners (-120, 7.5). Niese,
who was on the shelf with a shoulder ailment, is 5-4 with a
2.96 ERA; New York is 10-7 against the moneyline and 6-7-4 O/U
in his 17 starts.

WAG of the Day

Adair Bard (center) is the wife of
veteran major-league reliever Daniel Bard.

Weather Watch

* Wind at Citizens Bank Park will blow out to center field at 6
mph for Monday’s game between host Philadelphia (-130, 7) and
San Francisco. Teams hit .249 with an average of 1.95 homers
under similar conditions last season – below stadium averages –
but combined to go 12-7 O/U.

* Fans at Wrigley Field will see wind blowing out to center
field at 11 mph for Tuesday’s tilt between the host Cubs and
the San Diego Padres. Teams combined to score more than 13 runs
with an average of 4.57 homers in seven games under similar
conditions in 2013.

** Odds, stats, weather forecast and probable pitchers as
of 11:45 a.m. ET Monday.

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