USA TODAY Sports
We talk to John Lester, senior lines manager at BookMaker.eu, about the action coming in on a couple of Saturday’s biggest games.
Tennessee Volunteers at Florida Gators – Open: -2, Move: +1, Move: Pick
The Gators head into this SEC matchup off a 14-9 win against Kentucky and are 3-0 straight up (2-1 against the spread) to begin the season. Perhaps more important is a current 10-game winning streak (6-3-1 ATS) the Gators own against the Volunteers.
Speaking of those Vols, they’ve started the season scoring 138 points in their first three games – the most since notching 171 in 1914. Tennessee bounced back from a loss to Oklahoma with a 55-10 victory over Western Carolina last week.
“Our clients absolutely love the Vols in this spot,” Lester tells Covers. “We’ve book around 75 percent of our action on Tennessee, which manifested the line swing from Gators -2 to Tennessee -1. The under has been hit hard as well as we’ve moved from an open of 53.5 to 48. We’re hoping for a Florida win by at least a field goal.
USC Trojans at Arizona State Sun Devils – Open: +5,5, Move: +6, Move: +5.5
The Trojans look very, very strong on the offensive side ball with Cody Kessler under center, running backs Tre Madden, Justin Davis and Ronald Jones II along with wide receiver JuJu Smith-Schuster providing exciting football seemingly on every play.
Trouble is, the defense is getting exposed.
USC is coming off a tough 41-31 loss to Kevin Hogan and Stanford one week ago and face a stiff test against the Sun Devils, who have won three of the last four meetings (3-1 ATS) versus the Trojans.
“The Trojans have to regroup after last weekend and I’m not so sure they will,” Lester says. “The USC fan base is always going to back its team at the window, which is why we have more square players on the visitor. Some smart money is backing the Sun Devils and more than 65 percent of our moneyline wagers are are the home dog. ASU feels undervalued here.”