Why wiseguys are timing these college football bets perfectly in Week 2

1473179770_bearcats_cincy090616.jpg

USA Today Images

Each week during the college football season, Covers Expert Steve Merril looks at the NCAAF odds and tells you which spread to bet now, which one to bet later, and which total to watch as the week plays out.

Spread to bet now
 
Cincinnati Bearcats (-6.5) at Purdue Boilermakers
 
This line opened -6 and quickly move to -6.5 at all sportsbooks. Cincinnati backers will look to play this game now before it hits the key number of seven, while Purdue supporters will likely sit and wait.

Cincinnati is in its fourth season under head coach Tommy Tuberville and should contend for an American Athletic Conference title. The offense is young, but is experienced at quarterback and the Bearcats will be motivated after a lackluster 28-7 win versus Tennessee Monroe last week. The strength of this team is a veteran defense that returns eight starters this season.
 
Purdue’s defense wasn’t impressive last week, allowing Eastern Kentucky to score 24 points and gain 398 total yards. The Boilermakers are just 3-30 SU versus FBS opponents under head coach Darrell Hazell, compared to 4-0 versus FCS opponents.
 
Spread to wait on

Ohio Bobcats (+3) at Kansas Jayhawks
 
Money quickly came in on Kansas in this game, moving the Jayhawks from 2- point underdogs to 3-point favorites. Based on last week’s results, the betting public will probably push this line higher above the key number of three.

Kansas snapped its 15-game losing streak last week with a win over FCS Rhode Island and also got head coach David Beaty his first win after going 0-12 SU last year. However, Kansas is still a team that has gone 3-9 SU or worse in each of its past six seasons. They will now be facing an Ohio team that is expected to contend for the Mid-American Conference title this season. 
 
Ohio will be in a foul mood after losing in triple-overtime as a 17.5-point home favorite versus Texas State last week. The Bobcats failed to convert a two-point conversion in the third overtime session. Ohio held a 630-546 total yards edge in the game, including a 250-106 rushing advantage.

Total to watch
 
Texas Tech Red Raiders at Arizona State Sun Devils (79)

The highest Over/Under line this week opened at 80 and was quickly bet down to 79 total points.

Texas Tech was an explosive offense last season, averaging 45.1 points per game and they scored 69 points last week on 758 total yards in their season debut versus Stephen F. Austin. The question for Texas Tech is a defense that allowed 43.6 points per game last season.

Arizona State is a young offense that returns just four starters this season. The Sun Devils did score 44 points on 456 yards last week versus FCS Northern Arizona, but they will now be stepping up in class versus a high-octane Big 12 opponent this week.

[ad_2]
Source link

Tagged with:

Leave a Comment