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Game to bet now
Tampa Bay at Kansas City (-7.5)
Looks like we’ve been sleeping on the Chiefs, who have reeled off five straight wins and now share (with New England and Oakland) the best record in the AFC at 7-2. Granted, those last four wins (New Orleans, Indianapolis, Jacksonville and Carolina) have come against teams with a combined 13-23 record, but they all count. The Chiefs have this one more game against a mediocre opponent before running a Denver-Atlanta-Oakland gauntlet which will go a long way toward determining if they can stand up to the league’s iron. Tampa Bay hasn’t been able to string two wins together this season but remains in both the NFC South and playoff mixes in a muddled NFC. Betting is steady on both ends in this one and the line should remain stable barring any new injury reports or heavy one-way betting.
Game to wait on
Houston at Oakland (-5.5) (Monday night)
The AFC West is where the action is this season, where the Chiefs and Broncos now have to contend with the Raiders. The swag is definitely back in Oakland, where the Raiders are giving their fans plenty to remember in what may be their final year on the coast before moving to Las Vegas. Oakland has won three in a row, is coming off its biggest win in years (at home over Denver on Nov. 6), has had a bye week off to rest and get healthy, and has three more home games in a row. Houston, which is 6-3 but has been outscored by 188-161 this season, looks like the weakest division leader. The Texans had just enough gas to get by Jacksonville last week, but there is concern about Brock Osweiler, who was just 14 for 27 against the Jags and threw for only 99 yards.
Total to watch
Buffalo at Cincinnati (46.5)
At 4-5 the Bills look like they’re headed for another trip to Mediocreville, but there is one bright spot – namely, Buffalo has shown that it can score points on the road. In fact, the Bills have averaged nearly 27 points in their last three road games and are a solid 7-2 on the over this season. The semi-burst has allowed the Bills to move toward the middle of the pack in the league offensively, and bodes well for this Sunday’s game against the Bengals – who rank 24th in the league defensively. Over players have already bet this game up a point from its 46.5 open.
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