Wiseguys are advising that these Week 16 NFL lines are going to move

USA Today Images

Each week during the pro football season, Covers Expert Art Aronson of AAA Sports looks at the NFL odds and tells you which spread to bet now, which one to bet later, and which total to watch as the week plays out.

Game to bet now

New York Giants at Philadelphia (+2.5) (Thursday)

Never get in the way of a runaway train, and that’s pretty much the Eagles’ problem at this point of the season. Five straight losses (and 7 in the last 8), combined with solid seasons from Dallas and the Giants, have relegated Philadelphia to Baltic Ave. status in the NFC East. By contrast, the Giants are on one of their don’t-you-dare-forget-us late-season rolls and have an outside shot at winning the division and actually robbing the Cowboys of the overall No. 1 playoff seed in the conference. With defense as its calling card, New York has won 8 of 9 and is crushing it defensively with the league’s third-best defense in points allowed (17.9/game). The game opened at 3, then surprisingly moved to 2.5 – a gift for NY backers.

Game to wait on

San Diego at Cleveland (+6) (Saturday)

San Diego’s ownership may be talking about turning out the lights and moving, but the Chargers showed some life in an overtime loss to Oakland last Sunday. San Diego’s reward was a trip to Cleveland, where the Browns’ road to nowhere season plays out its string. More amazing than Cleveland’s 0-14 SU record is the fact that the Brownies have not had a single home cover (0-7) this season. Browns fans are so upset that they have been campaigning for the league to not televise Cleveland games, and instead show Steelers games. Pretty bad. This line may not be done moving, so there’s no harm in holding off.
Total to watch

Tennessee at Jacksonville (44) (Saturday)

The AFC South is fertile ground for any team that can win even two games in a row, and the Titans have surprised everyone with three straight – including stunning back-to-back victories over Denver and Kansas City. And Tennessee has been doing it without putting up a ton of points – the Titans had a total of only 32 in the Broncos/Chiefs parlay. You have to wonder how much offensive game-planning is going on in Jacksonville, where a fed-up management pulled the plug on coach Gus Bradley and gave the keys to  Doug Marrone. J-Ville was a chic pick to make some noise in the wide-open South, but never got any traction. The Jags’ underperforming offense combined with the Titans’ still-suspect offense make this one an attractive option for under players.

Source link

Leave a Comment