In his first season as a full-time major leaguer, Luis Severino (3-2, 3.11 ERA) has been terrific from the Yankees’ bump. It’s taken a bit for the once-touted prospect to deliver on his potential but with 61 strikeouts in 55 innings pitched in 2017, the 23-year-old righty looks like he’s here to stay. Severino will take the hill opposite Chris Tillman (1-1, 4.43) this evening, looking to put a shaky start in his last appearance at Camden Yards behind him.
– Shark BITES
- The Orioles are 0-6 SU in their last 6 games against right-handed starting pitchers.
- The total has gone OVER in 6 of the Yankees’ last 7 games against the Orioles.
- Chris Tillman gave up 3 home runs in 3 starts against the Yankees last year.
Breaking a seven-game losing streak in a 3-2 win in their series opener with the Yanks last night, the Orioles didn’t necessarily fix the problems that have been plaguing their offense. They’ve scored an average of just two runs per game in their last 6 contests and if their hitting woes continue this evening, they’ll be in trouble. The O’s have struggled against righty pitching of late and with a roster that features just three left-handed bats, it’s unlikely that their offensive issues are solved against Severino.
Tillman, who’s given up three or more runs in all but one of his four appearances this season, has made just one quality start so far. That said, the total has gone UNDER in every game he’s pitched in as the bleeding has normally stopped when he’s been relieved.
Both Baltimore and New York have bullpens that operate in the upper echelon of the American League so if both starters perform to their abilities, this game has an excellent shot at staying UNDER its opening total of 9.
Opening Odds & Computer Pick
The New York Yankees were listed as -107 favorites on the MLB baseball moneyline at many online sportsbooks, including Bet365. The total was set at 9 before betting started earlier on Tuesday over at Bovada.
Handicapping models based on recent betting stats and prediction formulas pick a 4.5-1.7 win for the Yankees. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming MLB matchups here.
New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Matchup
Team Betting Records & Power Rankings
The Baltimore Orioles sport a record of 26-23 heading into this matchup, while the New York Yankees sit at 29-19 on the season Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Baltimore vs New York injuries news.
According to MLB Power Rankings here, it’s the No. 25-ranked Baltimore Orioles and the No. 11-rated New York Yankees in this matchup.
Scoring stats point to some edges in this matchup. The game features the Baltimore Orioles No. 20-ranked scoring average of 4.41 runs per game, against a New York Yankees offense rated No. 2 and scoring 5.33 runs per game. The Orioles have averaged 8.86 hits per game to date this season, less than the Yankees hitters have managed (9.15 per nine innings).
Pitching and defensive stats are important baseball handicapping betting factors and Baltimore has the No. 15-ranked defense. In the other dugout, the Yankees own the No. 6 mark in runs allowed.
Recent Outings Betting Recap
New York suffered a 3-2 loss against Baltimore on Monday, as Jordan Montgomery wasn’t able to lead his team to victory at Camden Yards.
- The total has gone UNDER in 7 of NY Yankees’s last 8 games
- NY Yankees is 12-4 ATS in its last 16 games on the road
- NY Yankees is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
- NY Yankees is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Baltimore
- Baltimore is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
- Baltimore is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore’s last 6 games
- Baltimore is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Next Betting Matchups
New York at Baltimore, Wednesday, May 31st