Brewers vs Pirates Betting Odds and Pick – September 11, 2015

The Milwaukee Brewers will send Jimmy Nelson to the mound when they continue a weekend series against the Pittsburgh Pirates on Friday.

Nelson has faced the Pirates on five occasions this season while posting a 4-1 record and a 1.72 ERA, which is his best mark against any team he has pitched against more than once this season.

The righthander has taken the mound at PNC twice this season with a 1.65 ERA while only surrendering two earned runs in 11 innings pitched.

The Pirates have been slumping against the lowly Brew Crew so far this season as well.  Pittsburgh has lost all seven games against the Brewers since the All-Star break while allowing 6.5 runs per game.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

The visiting Milwaukee Brewers were 157 moneyline underdogs in this one earlier in the day at most online sportsbooks including Bodog. The total was 7.5 at Bet365 for those preferring over under betting.

Handicapping models based on recent betting stats and prediction formulas pick a 5.2-4.3 win for the Pirates. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming MLB matchups here.

Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Pittsburgh Pirates bring a 83-56 record to the battle against the 62-78 Brewers. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Pittsburgh vs Milwaukee injuries news.

According to MLB Power Rankings here, it’s the No. 14-ranked Pittsburgh Pirates and the No. 13-rated Milwaukee Brewers in this matchup.

Statistical Matchup

Rating these teams in several key categories is important for handicappers and Pittsburgh has baseball’s No. 13-rated offensive output, at 9.06 hits per game. The Milwaukee Brewers average 8.65 hits per game, good for No. 12 on the list.

Defensively, Milwaukee features the No. 11-rated defense on the road, allowing 4.21 runs per game. Pittsburgh, meanwhile, comes in at No. 18 at home, scoring 4.21 runs per game.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

Milwaukee won a close affair on Thursday in their last outing, defeating Pittsburgh 6-4 in extra innings at PNC Park.

Betting Trends
  • Milwaukee is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 9 of Milwaukee’s last 10 games
  • Milwaukee is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games on the road
  • The total has gone OVER in 9 of Milwaukee’s last 10 games on the road
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh’s last 5 games
  • Pittsburgh is 17-6 SU in its last 23 games at home
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh’s last 6 games at home
  • Pittsburgh is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee

Next Betting Matchups

Milwaukee at Pittsburgh, Saturday, September 12th


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