Broncos vs Jaguars Betting Odds and Pick – December 4, 2016


The Jacksonville Jaguars aim to end a six-game straight up losing streak on Sunday when they host the defending Super Bowl champion Denver Broncos at EverBank Field. The Broncos travel east on an uneven 3-4 SU and against the spread run, including losses in two of their past three on the road.

– Shark
  • The favored team is 1-6 ATS in the last seven games in this matchup.
  • The Jaguars are 14-3-1 ATS in their last 18 games in Week 13.
  • The Broncos are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games as a favorite of 4.5 or less.

The 2-9 Jaguars continued their downward spiral with last week’s 28-21 loss in Buffalo, but covered as 8.5-point underdogs for their second ATS win in their past four. Jacksonville is winless SU and ATS in their past two at home, but is 2-2 SU and 4-0 ATS its past four as a home underdog.

The 7-4 Broncos dropped a narrow 30-27 decision to Kansas City as 3.5-point home chalk last weekend, to fall out of the AFC wild-card picture, at least temporarily. Denver’s recent inconsistency extends to their play on the road, where they are 1-2 SU and ATS in three, and have covered in just two of six as road favorites.

Denver claimed a 35-19 win as massive 26.5-point home chalk in their last meeting with the Jaguars, three years ago. However, Jacksonville has otherwise dominated, posting SU wins in five of seven, and ATS wins in five of six against the Broncos.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Bettors who were going with the Jacksonville Jaguars in this one found them listed as 5-point underdogs on the betting line at Bovada. Fans betting on totals have seen that number set earlier in the week at 43 for Sunday.

Handicapping models based on recent betting stats and prediction formulas picked a 22-21 win for the Broncos. Injuries during the week may cause the formula to be re-run, so check the NFL picks page before game time. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NFL matchups here.

Denver Broncos vs Jacksonville Jaguars Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Denver Broncos will look to cover ATS vs their hosts on Sunday, as they are 7-4 ATS versus the spread this season, while the Jacksonville Jaguars are 6-5 ATS. Denver is 6-5 against the over under total, while Jacksonville is 7-4 versus the number. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Jacksonville vs Denver injuries news.

The game pits the Jacksonville Jaguars, currently No. 28 in our Odds – Shark
NFL Power Rankings, against the Denver Broncos, who rate No. 3 in the latest survey.

Statistical Matchup

The game also pits Jacksonville’s No. 26-ranked offense, averaging 19.45 PPG, against a Broncos defense that ranks No. 9 this week at 19.91 PPG. The Jaguars aerial game is averaging 237.91 yards per game, more than the Broncos secondary allows through the air, 193.91 YPG per game.

Defensively, the Denver Broncos feature the league’s No. 24-rated road run defense, allowing 122.4 yards per game. The Jacksonville Jaguars, meanwhile, ranks No. 27 in rushing offense at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

Last time out, Trevor Siemian threw for 3 scores and 368 yards in a failed effort to defeat Kansas City at Sports Authority Field at Mile High.

Last time out, Jacksonville got 2 scoring strikes from Blake Bortles in a 28-21 loss against Buffalo.

Betting Trends
  • Denver is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games
  • Denver is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games
  • Denver is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games on the road
  • Denver is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Jacksonville
  • Jacksonville is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
  • Jacksonville is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Jacksonville’s last 6 games
  • Jacksonville is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Denver at Tennessee, Sunday, December 11th
Jacksonville home to Minnesota, Sunday, December 11th


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