Fans should expect plenty of fireworks Wednesday night as the Akron Zips and their leaky defense host the Toledo Rockets, who boast one of the top attacks in all of college football. The teams combine to average more than 70 points per game heading into this one, and both are looking to bounce back following losses in their previous games.
Akron fell out of a share of top spot in the MAC East Division following a humbling 41-20 defeat against Buffalo; the Zips fell victim to a historical performance, as Bulls running back Jordan Johnson rumbled for a school-record 282 yards in the victory. That has been par for the course for Akron, which has coughed up 2,058 yards and 20 yards on the ground through nine games.
Toledo has a solid rush attack but does the majority of its damage through the air, leading the conference in average passing yards per game (347.1) while tossing 32 touchdowns against just five interceptions. The Rockets’ pass attack sizzled but the defense fizzled last time out against Ohio, as they dropped a 31-26 decision to a Buckeyes team that hadn’t won in Toledo in 50 years.
TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, ESPN2
LINE HISTORY: The line opened at Akron +9 and has been bet up as high as +10.5 while the total has risen a point from the original O/U of 71 to 72.
INJURY REPORT: TOLEDO – RB Warren Ball (undisclosed, questionable), AKRON – OL Mike Ebert (knee, questionable), OL Elijah Nkansah (knee, questionable), WR Andrew Davis (ACL, out for season), WR Neru N’Shaka (ACL, out for season), LB Jaylen Coleman (Achilles, out for season).
WEATHER REPORT: Partly cloudy skies are expected for kickoff at Summa Field at InfoCision Stadium, with a 10 percent chance of rain and temperatures in the low-60s. Wind will blow out of the southwest at 6 mph.
WHAT BOOKS SAY: “We opened Toledo as a 9-point favourite over Akron, and it was quickly bet up Toledo -10 and then to our current number of Toledo -10.5 with over 80 percent of the action on Toledo to cover.” – Michael Stewart, CarbonGaming.ag
WHAT SHARPS SAY: “Toledo took its foot of the gas after achieving its sixth win of the year in last week’s shocking setback to Ohio and now faces a hungry Akron team which also comes in off an upset setback as a double-digit fave against Buffalo. The Zips are just 5-4 though and need one more victory to become bowl eligible. Another potential upset brewing in weeknight MAC action?” – Covers Expert AAA Sports.
ABOUT TOLEDO: (6-2, 5-3 ATS, 4-3-1 O/U): The Rockets are a threat to incinerate the scoreboard every time out thanks to the passing prowess of QB Logan Woodside. The junior and Kentucky native has racked up 2,715 passing yards through eight games and has at least three touchdowns passes in every contest so far this season; a three-TD effort against Ohio last week snapped a streak of six straight games with no fewer than four TD throws. And don’t be surprised to see Woodside take his foot off the gas a little in favor of more work for RB Kareem Hunt, who has 790 rushing yards and five touchdowns and should have no trouble punishing Akron’s terrible run defense.
ABOUT AKRON (5-4, 3-6 ATS, 5-4 O/U): Zips junior QB Thomas Woodson opened the season on fire – throwing 13 touchdown passes over his first four games – but has been more subdued of late, posting a modest 3:1 TD:INT ratio in two games since returning from a three-week injury absence. He was completely overwhelmed against Buffalo, completing just 18-of-42 passes for 178 yards, one touchdown and one interception while adding 10 rushes for just 13 yards. Akron ranked 11th out of 12 MAC teams in rushing yards per game and are led by sophomore Van Edwards Jr., who has overcome a slow start to compile 178 yards and a touchdown on the ground over his past two games.
* Toledo has covered the spread in 11 of its previous 12 road games.
* Akron is 1-4 ATS in its last five home games against teams with winning road records.
* Under is 4-0 in the Rockets’ last four games following a straight-up loss.
* Under is 10-4 in the Zips’ previous 14 home games.
COVERS CONSENSUS: The Rockets are the team of choice in this one, with 65 percent of Covers users taking Toledo -9.