Duke vs UNC Betting Odds and Pick, March 4, 2017


There is nothing quite like Duke vs UNC. The heated rivalry is one of the finest in all of sports and another chapter will be writing in Chapel Hill Saturday. The Blue Devils have held the edge against the Tar Heels recently, as Duke has won five of the past six meetings. More ammo for Duke fans, Coach K and company are 4-1 SU and ATS in their past five games in Chapel Hill.

– Shark BITES
  • Duke is 4-1 SU and ATS in their last 5 games on the road against UNC.
  • The total has gone UNDER in UNC’s last 4 games against the ACC.
  • Duke is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games on the road.

The first meeting between Duke and UNC lived up to the hype with both teams shooting over 52 percent while combining for just 15 turnovers. The Blue Devils picked up the win in that contest, thanks largely to Jayson Tatum’s 19-point second half performance.

We all know about Tatum and Grayson Allen and Luke Kennard, but keep an eye on freshman Frank Jackson for Duke. The five-star prospect has gone off during Allen’s recent struggles/absences, as Jackson has averaged 19 points while shooting 6-of-9 from beyond the arc. Jackson still isn’t the traditional point guard but he is scoring better than he has all season long.

UNC enters this game coming off a 53-43 loss to Virginia in which the team shot just 25 percent from deep and posted a turnover differential of -10. Only on Tar Heel scored more than eight points in that game (Joel Berry II) with the starters contributing just 27 points. However, that has been one of the rare occurrences that UNC’s offense has been slowed, as UNC has scored 80-plus points in 22 of their 31 games this season.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

On the opening NCAA basketball betting line for this matchup, North Carolina sat as -6-point favorites over at MyBookie. Also, check out the current over/under betting total for points scored, which often goes up first at online sportsbook BetOnline

Duke Blue Devils vs North Carolina Tar Heels Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The North Carolina Tar Heels are 25-6 so far on the season, and 17-14 ATS vs the number. The Duke Blue Devils, meanwhile, are 23-7 and 11-18 ATS. OVER/UNDER bettors have seen North Carolina go 12-19 and the Duke Blue Devils go 13-16 on betting totals.

The Tar Heels – Blue Devils odds would favor the Tar Heels if the lines were set according to our power ranks. North Carolina is rated No. 21 in the current Odds – Shark poll, while Duke is at No. 28.

Statistical Matchup

The game also pits North Carolina’s No. 10-ranked offense, averaging 85.03 PPG, against a Blue Devils defense that ranks No. 66 at 68.43 PPG. The Tar Heels field goal percentage has averaged 47.08% so far, less than the Blue Devils marksmen have achieved on the year, 47.41% per game.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

The Blue Devils grabbed a 75-70 win over the Seminoles on Tuesday, behind a 22-point effort from Frank Jackson at Cameron Indoor Stadium.

The Tar Heels endured a 53-43 loss at the hands of the Cavaliers on Monday, despite a 12-point effort from Joel Berry II at John Paul Jones Arena.

Betting Trends
  • Duke is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
  • Duke is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Duke’s last 6 games
  • Duke is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
  • North Carolina is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
  • North Carolina is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of North Carolina’s last 5 games
  • North Carolina is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games at home


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