Jaguars vs Chiefs Betting Odds and Pick – November 6, 2016

The Kansas City Chiefs look to extend their dominance at home with a ninth straight outright victory when they welcome the Jacksonville Jaguars to town on Sunday afternoon for an NFL Week 9 betting matchup at Arrowhead Stadium.

– Shark Bites
  • The favored team is 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS in its last five games in this matchup.
  • The Chiefs are 0-5 ATS in their last five games at home against teams with losing records.
  • The Jaguars are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games on the road after failing to cover in their most recent road game.

The 5-2 Chiefs return home following a 30-14 rout of Indianapolis last weekend. While Kansas City easily covered as 2.5-point road favorites against the Colts, the team has struggled at the sportsbooks, failing to cover in consecutive games since Week 13 of last season. The Chiefs are also just 1-6 ATS in their past seven when pegged as favorites by seven or more points.

The Jaguars are coming off a pair of brutal losses to Oakland and Tennessee, losing by an average margin of 15.5 points. The team’s current swoon snuffs out the glimmer of hope provided by an earlier two-game SU win streak. Jacksonville has been particularly bad on the road, losing 18 of 20 SU, and covering in just one of their past six.

While the 2-5 Jaguars have failed to top 17 points on four occasions this season, the OVER has been a reliable total betting wager since last year, going 9-4 in their past 13. Jacksonville has also lost two straight to the Chiefs by double-digit margins, and has failed to cover in their past three meetings.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

The point spread was settled in at -7.5 for the host Kansas City Chiefs earlier in the week, according to Bovada. The over under betting line was hovering around 45.5, with odds movement expected during the week at MyBookie.

Odds – Shark computer prediction formulas pick a 34-12 win for the Chiefs on Sunday. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NFL matchups here.

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Kansas City Chiefs Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

Kansas City battles the Jacksonville Jaguars, currently with a 2-5 mark (4-3 ATS). The over under records, important for totals betting, are 2-5 for the Chiefs and 5-2 for the Jaguars. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Kansas City vs Jacksonville injuries news.

The game pits the Kansas City Chiefs, currently No. 4 in our Odds – Shark NFL Power Rankings, against the Jacksonville Jaguars, who rate No. 30 in the latest survey.

Statistical Matchup

Offensively, the game matches up the Kansas City Chiefs No. 14-ranked offense (23.71 PPG) against a Jacksonville Jaguars defense that ranks No. 27 at 28 PPG. The Chiefs passing attack has averaged 252 yards per game, more than the Jaguars give up through the air (224.57 YPG on average).

In comparing defenses, the Jacksonville Jaguars own the league’s No. 28-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 152 yards per game when on the road. Kansas City, on the other hand, rates No. 26 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

In their last game, the Jaguars got 3 passing scores out of Blake Bortles, but lost 36-22 to the Titans on Thursday at Nissan Stadium.

Travis Kelce hauled in 7 passes for 101 yards against the Indianapolis defense in the team’s last game, leading Kansas City over the Colts 30-14 on Sunday.

Betting Trends
  • Jacksonville is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Jacksonville’s last 7 games
  • Jacksonville is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
  • Jacksonville is 2-18 SU in its last 20 games on the road
  • Kansas City is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City’s last 6 games
  • Kansas City is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
  • Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Jacksonville home to Houston, Sunday, November 13th
Kansas City at Carolina, Sunday, November 13th

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