Maple Leafs vs Senators Betting Odds and Pick, October 12, 2016

The Leafs and Sens get the first game of the new NHL season tonight as the two teams meet for the 109th time since Ottawa joined the Show as an expansion team in 1992. Toronto was swept in the Battle of Ontario last season but the Leafs are a new team, committed to their youth product. This matchup is likely going to be an exciting, high-flying affair all season long.

– Shark BITES
  • The Maple Leafs are 0-7 in their last 7 games as a moneyline underdog of 113 or less.
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of the Maple Leafs’ last 5 games on the road against the Senators.
  • The Maple Leafs are 0-4 in their last 4 games on the road against the Senators.

Toronto scored a league low 69 points last year and is going to have a long adjustment period with their first- and second-year players filling major roles on the team. The Maple Buds, as many endearingly call them, have a ton of potential at the back end – but not much experience. It’s rare that young defensemen succeed right away in the NHL so it’s probably still going to be at least a year before players like Nikita Zaitsev, Morgan Rielly and Jake Gardiner figure out how to lock down an opposing attack.

Frederik Andersen and Craig Anderson will get the starts for their respective clubs tonight as Freddy makes his first regular season appearance for his new squad. He has a modest .826 save percentage in the preseason after posting a .923 save percentage and 2.30 goals against average last season. The Dane will live and die by the defenders in front of this season but should be able to steal a few wins as he has the capability of standing on his head from time-to-time.

The Sens have been a team on the rise for the last couple years and this could be their breakout year. That said, they do have a ceiling, Ottawa still lacks the depth to compete against the top teams in the East. The Maple Leafs, however, are not one of those top teams – Ottawa takes this one tonight, and they could do it by a couple goals.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Sportsbooks such as Bovada had the Ottawa Senators as 120 moneyline favorites in this particular NHL betting matchup earlier. The over under total, meanwhile, was set early at 5 before betting started to move the line at Bet365.

A 4.2-1.1 result in favor of the Senators is the prediction by the Odds – Shark handicapping pick engine. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NHL matchups here.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Senators sit at 38-35-9 on the season; in comparison, the Toronto Maple Leafs are currently 29-42-11. Looking to wager on the totals? Ottawa is 39-40-3 OU, and Toronto is 34-36-12 OU. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Ottawa vs Toronto injuries news.

According to new NHL Power Rankings here at Odds – Shark , it’s the No. 22-ranked Ottawa Senators and the No. 23-rated Toronto Maple Leafs in this matchup.

Statistical Matchup

Offensively, the game matches up the Ottawa Senators No. 6-ranked offense (2.88 goals per game) against a Toronto Maple Leafs defense that ranks No. 27 at 3 goals per game allowed. The Senators powerplay has clicked at a 16.17% rate while the Maple Leafs have a 81.62% rate on the penalty kill.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

In their last action, Toronto was a 5-1 loser on the road against the Devils. Bettors on New Jersey at -147 on the moneyline collected their winnings from that game, while the total score (6) sent OVER bettors home happy as well.

Last time out for Ottawa, they were a 6-1 winner as they battled the Bruins on the road. Moneyline bettors who got the Senators at +218 were rewarded, while the 7 combined goals moved the game OVER for totals bettors.

Betting Trends
  • Toronto is 15-7 ATS in its last 22 games
  • Toronto is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto’s last 5 games
  • Toronto is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games on the road
  • Ottawa is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Ottawa’s last 9 games at home
  • Ottawa is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
  • The total has gone OVER in 9 of Ottawa’s last 13 games when playing Toronto

Next Betting Matchups

Toronto home to Boston, Saturday, October 15th
Ottawa home to Montreal, Saturday, October 15th

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