NCAA Tournament Elite Eight betting preview and odds: Oregon vs Kansas

Oregon Ducks vs Kansas Jayhawks (-6.5, 156.5) 

Game to be played at Sprint Center, Kansas City, Missouri

The Jayhawks are led by the talented backcourt duo of senior Frank Mason III and junior Devonte’ Graham, who each recorded 26 points in the 98-66 victory over Purdue on Thursday. 

“We’re spoiled,” Kansas coach Bill Self told reporters, “. … on the perimeter you’ve always got, in my opinion, an All-American-type guard to be the leader and run your team. To have two guys out there playing like they’re playing, I think, just gives everybody confidence and it can help totally control the pace of the game.” 

Oregon lost third-leading scorer and rim protector Chris Boucher to a knee injury in the Pac-12 tournament, but has battled its way into the Elite Eight with a versatile roster. 

“We never quit,” Ducks sophomore guard Tyler Dorsey told reporters after the 69-68 win over Michigan on Thursday. “We just keep fighting. We know how to win.”

TV: 8:49 p.m. ET, TBS

LINE HISTORY: The Jayhawks opened as 6-point favorites against the Ducks and by Friday afternoon that number was bet up a half point to 6.5. The total hit the board at 156.5 and hasn’t moved off that number. Check out the complete line history here.

WHAT SHARPS SAY: “The wounded Ducks continue their flight in this tournament, escaping with wins of 1 and 3 points in their last two games. Meanwhile, Kansas is hitting on all cylinders, topping 90 or more points in all three contests, averaging 96 PPG. Rallying around the loss of star F Ed Boucher has been the rallying cry of Oregon. Beating team like a drum has been Kansas’ mantra. This should prove interesting.”  Covers Expert Marc Lawrence

WHAT BOOKS SAY: “Kansas opened as a 5 point favorite, but the line has made its way up to 6.5 pretty quickly. The action is pretty close to even, with the Jayhawks seeing slightly more side action at this point.” – Lines Manager at GTBets




Oregon – F Chris Boucher (Out For Season, knee), F M.J. Cage (Out Indefinitely, knee)

Kansas – C Udoka Azubuike (Out For Season, wrist)



ABOUT OREGON (32-5): Dorsey has been nicknamed “Mr. March” by his teammates for good reason as the Los Angeles product is averaging 23.7 points in the first three games of the NCAA Tournament and 23 in the last six contests overall. Junior forward Dillon Brooks is the team’s leading scorer overall (16.3) and has matched that in the Big Dance while junior forward Jordan Bell has registered 13 points and 12.3 boards per game in the last three. The Ducks could use some added offense from senior guard Dylan Ennis, who is scoring 10.7 per game overall this season but is just 7-for-22 from the field for 22 total points in the NCAAs.

ABOUT KANSAS (31-4): Mason has been outstanding in his last NCAA Tournament, averaging 22.7 points on 23-of-41 shooting and 6.7 assists, and has scored at least 20 in nine of the last 10 contests. Graham became the first player to drain at least four 3-pointers in four straight NCAA Tournament games since Stephen Curry accomplished the feat with Davidson in 2008 and knocked down five against Purdue as Mason told reporters, “It’s probably one of the best games I’ve seen him play.” Freshman swingman Josh Jackson has also been solid in the Big Dance while averaging 18.3 points on 56 percent shooting.




* Ducks are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
* Jayhawks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 NCAA Tournament games as a favorite.
* Over is 5-1 in Ducks last 6 NCAA Tournament games as an underdog of 0.5-6.5.
* Over is 5-0 in Jayhawks last 5 games as a favorite.
* Over is 4-0 in Jayhawks last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Click here for a complete list of hot and cold trends.

COVERS CONSENSUS: 52 percent of spread bets are on Oregon while 72 percent of totals bets are on the Over. View full consensus data here.


Source link

Leave a Comment