Rams vs Patriots Betting Odds and Pick, December 4, 2016


If Jeff Fisher waited to start Jared Goff to make him look bad by comparison, he played this one perfectly. With the Rams playing the Patriots in Week 13, Goff’s first two career NFL quarterback matchups will have come against two of the best signal-callers in the history of the game. This will be a tough one for the rookie QB but maybe he can learn some lessons from his counterpart this week.

– Shark
  • The Rams are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 14.0 or more.
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of the Patriots’ last 8 games at home.
  • The Rams are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against the Patriots.

LA is clearly outmatched in this one and opened laying 13.5 points to New England. The Pats struggled to get by the lowly Jets in their last outing and failed to cover but in all fairness were dealing with multiple injuries, including a banged-up Tom Brady – a pretty important piece to the Patriots’ winning puzzle.

A weird – probably useless – trend for the Pats is that they are an awful 1-8-1 against the spread in their last 10 games in Week 13. Obviously, these games all have very little – or nothing – to do with each other but if we see the same New England team that almost blew it against the Jets in Week 12, the Rams could easily cover this enormous spread.

With all that said, New England has been an excellent spread bet all season – going 8-3 ATS – and has covered in all but one of its nine wins. This hardly needs to be said but the Patriots are as close to a lock as you can get to win straight up against the Rams this week, meaning their chances of covering are pretty darn good – considering the trends.

Bill Belichick is developing a two-headed monster in the Patriots backfield with spare parts Dion Lewis and LeGarrette Blount that combined for 125 total yards against the Jets. These two could be in for a field day against a Rams defense that just allowed Mark Ingram and Tim Hightower to gain 272 total yards against them.

That stat is important as the Patriots are 5-0 SU and ATS this year in games in which they’ve rushed for over 100 yards. LA has allowed over 100 rushing yards in two of its last three games.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Odds makers at Bovada had the New England Patriots as -13.5-point favorites in the game, while the betting total was sitting at 46.

Odds – Shark
football prediction models picked a 35-10 result in favor of the Patriots on Sunday. Check the matchup report for any updates or pick revisions before kickoff. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NFL matchups here.

Los Angeles Rams vs New England Patriots Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

This season the New England Patriots are 9-2 overall and 8-3 ATS against the spread, while the Rams are 4-7 and 4-6-1 ATS. As for the totals, New England is 4-6-1 on the OU, and Los Angeles is 4-7. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and New England vs Los Angeles injuries news.

The game pits the New England Patriots, currently No. 1 in our Odds – Shark
NFL Power Rankings, against the Los Angeles Rams, who rate No. 27 in the latest survey.

Statistical Matchup

Offensively, the game matches up the New England Patriots No. 6-ranked offense (26.64 PPG) against a Los Angeles Rams defense that ranks No. 12 at 21.45 PPG. The Patriots passing attack has averaged 270.55 yards per game, more than the Rams give up through the air (227.55 YPG on average).

In comparing defenses, the Los Angeles Rams own the league’s No. 28-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 130.33 yards per game when on the road. New England, on the other hand, rates No. 11 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

Last time out, Jared Goff threw for 3 scores and 214 yards in a failed effort to defeat New Orleans at Superdome.

Tom Brady threw a pair of TD passes in New England’s last match, defeating New York 22-17 in Week 12 action on Sunday.

Betting Trends
  • Los Angeles is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games
  • Los Angeles is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Los Angeles’s last 5 games
  • Los Angeles is 4-7-1 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
  • New England is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games
  • New England is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New England’s last 9 games
  • New England is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Los Angeles home to Atlanta, Sunday, December 11th
New England home to Baltimore, Monday, December 12th


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