Sharps are watching these Week 6 college football games very closely

Oklahoma has averaged 39.5 points and 493 total yards per game, but the Sooners have also allowed 35.2 points and 429 total yards per game.

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Each week during the college football season, Covers Expert Steve Merril looks at the NCAAF odds and tells you which spread to bet now, which one to bet later, and which total to watch as the week plays out.

Spread to bet now:

Georgia Tech (+7) at Pittsburgh

The Yellow Jackets opened +8 and have already been bet down to the key number of +7 with some sportsbooks already going down to +6.5. Georgia Tech is taking a step down in class after two losses versus Clemson and Miami Florida. The Yellow Jackets actually held a 361-355 total yard edge last week, including a 267-114 rushing advantage, but suffered from a 3-0 turnover deficit.

Pittsburgh is just 1-3-1 ATS this year and they do not the luxury of a bye week to prepare for the triple-option. The road team is also 2-0 SU/ATS in this head-to-head series the past two years. The Panthers won 31-28 at Georgia Tech last year as a 3-point underdog, but they lost at home 56-28 as a 4-point favorite in 2014. Georgia Tech has held 376-200 and 465-198 rushing edges in those past two games.

Spread to wait on:

Oregon (+8.5) vs. Washington

Oregon opened +8 in most locations and the early money has already pushed this line higher. The public will likely back the road favorite as well, so wait and try to get the key number of +10 or more later this week. Washington looked very strong last Friday night in their 44-6 national TV win versus Stanford, but that victory has now inflated this line and set up a possible letdown spot for the Huskies.

Oregon is down a notch this season and stands just 2-3 SU. However, this line has been drastically over-adjusted based on recent results. In fact, the look-ahead betting line this summer was Oregon -2. These teams played at Oregon two years ago and the Ducks were a 21-point home favorite in a 45-20 win. Oregon’s main weakness this season has been a poor rush defense, but the strength of Washington is their passing offense.

Total to watch:

Oklahoma at Texas (74)

This total opened 72 and was quickly bet two points higher. It is understandable as both offenses have been explosive this season, while both defenses have been very suspect. Oklahoma has averaged 39.5 points and 493 total yards per game, but the Sooners have also allowed 35.2 points and 429 total yards per game. Oklahoma’s four games have averaged 74.7 total points while going 3-1 Over this season.

Texas has scored at least 41 points or more in three of their four games this year, averaging 41.2 points and 517 total yards per game. However, the Longhorns have also allowed at least 47 points or more in three of their four games, permitting 38.2 points and 428 total yards per game on average. Overall, the Longhorns four games have averaged 79.4 total points while going 3-1 Over this season.

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