Week 13 Premier League Preview


Things are starting to look a little more familiar in the Premier League top seven and everything is awful. Spurs are the third London team in the standings and Chelsea sits atop the lot – alas. I’ve accepted the fate of a likely finish outside a European spot after our inglorious ousting from Champions League play and am absolutely dreading the winter transfer window when our glaring need for depth and a quality attacking midfielder will inevitably go unaddressed.

Sorry about that, I’m going through some things in the lead-up to Tottenham’s derby with Chelsea Saturday and needed to air some grievances. Without any further ado, here’s a look at the current top seven in the Prem. and my picks for Week 13.

Top seven teams in the English Premier League
Team Games Wins Draws Losses Goals For Goals Against Points
1. Chelsea 12 9 1 2 27 9 28
2. Liverpool 12 8 3 1 30 14 27
3. Manchester City 12 8 3 1 27 11 27
4. Arsenal 12 7 4 1 25 12 25
5. Tottenham 12 6 6 0 18 8 24
6. Manchester United 12 5 4 3 17 14 19
7. Everton 12 5 4 3 16 14 19

Match of the Week

The only matchup between teams in the top seven just so happens to be the very one that I’m currently whimpering about but if you’re impartial to the game, it should be a cracker. Spurs avoided a loss and then pulled out a win very late in their match with the Hammers last week but are coming off a disheartening performance against Monaco in European competition. Chelsea has won five consecutive Premier League matches and they’ve done so in spectacular fashion – winning those matches 17-0 on aggregate score. Antonio Conte has his team firing on all cylinders at both ends of the pitch and their 3-0 loss at the hands of the Gunners feels long ago and far away.

Betting interest in this one will be heavily in favor of the West London club and Bovada has them pegged as -135 moneyline favorites. Tottenham comes back at +350 and if you’ve read any of my prior work, you know that line tempts me. Cooler heads will most likely prevail but I won’t make any promises.

Realistically, Tottenham is still without Toby Alderweireld in the middle and will most likely struggle to contain the waves of attack that will be thrown at them by the likes of Eden Hazard and Diego Costa. Hugo Lloris will keep the attackers honest but I still like Chelsea to get it done at Stamford Bridge in a low-scoring effort. I’m predicting a 1-0 victory for the Blue.

Other matches to watch: Manchester United-West Ham, Southampton-Everton, Liverpool-Sunderland.

Bets of the Week

I went a pedestrian 2-2 in my last column in Week 11 but ended up making a nice profit with the Tottenham-Arsenal draw that paid out +225 and I narrowly missed out on a +275 cash out on the Stoke City moneyline (they drew West Ham 1-1). 

Good luck everyone, may your bankrolls bulge after you nail all your picks this week. Here goes:

Liverpool vs Sunderland OVER 3.5 -110 + Liverpool moneyline -650 parlay: I know this is a lofty total but Jurgen Klopp has lofty expectations. The Reds drew their match 0-0 last week and that was an anomaly. In their matches against teams currently in the bottom 13, Liverpool and their opponents have combined for three or more goals in all but one game. Sunderland has allowed the second-most goals in the league and Liverpool has scored the most. If the Reds don’t pot at least three for themselves on Saturday, I’ll be extremely surprised – and broke.

Chelsea vs Tottenham UNDER 1.5 +285: This one is a hunch bet. Both teams are incredibly sound at the defensive end and Spurs will be playing not to lose here. As I previously alluded, I’m begrudgingly taking Chelsea to win this one but I don’t think they’ll get more than one past the toughest D in the top flight. If you’re feeling liberal with your money, sprinkle some dough on that +600 line for Chelsea to win 1-0.

That’s it for me this week as those are the only plays I’ll be making myself. COYS!

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